September 2019

Volume 36, Issue 3

Exponential tooth decay curve

Authors: N P Monaghan
doi: 10.1922/CDH_4476Monaghan04


Objective: A review of the distribution of d3mft scores for Wales was undertaken to inform decisions on future reporting of decay experience. Visual examination of data from one survey suggested that caries in Wales is distributed along an exponential decay curve. Basic Research Design: Weighted d3mft data from 2007/8, 2011/12 and 2014/15 was utilised. The data was compared with a pragmatically chosen exponential decay model. Distribution curves for d3mft were plotted for each data set, correlation coefficients calculated and residuals plotted. Results: The three surveys demonstrate similar exponential decay distributions across the range of d3mft scores. Plots of each curve against the exponential decay model demonstrated close correlation (0.9826 – 0.9871). The progressive shift of these similarly shaped curves suggest similar levels of caries reduction across the spectrum of caries experience and thus improved oral health without widening of health inequality. The close fit with this simple mathematical model suggests that caries prevalence could be used to generate a theoretical distribution and thereby and estimate of mean d3mft score. Such an approach could facilitate simplified oral health surveillance in areas where caries distributions are known from previous surveys. Conclusions: Within Wales caries does seem to be distributed in line with an exponential decay curve. As a result decay prevalence and mean d3mft are mathematically related. This finding may have potential to support simplified local oral health surveillance. The data provides evidence suggesting improvements in caries experience in Wales are not at the expense of increased inequality. Key words: Dental caries/epidemiology; DMF Index; Models, statistical


Other articles in this issue

Article Pages Access
Exploring the feasibility of using routinely collected data to produce antibiotic prescribing profiles for general dental practitioners in Wales 177-180 Download
A conceptual framework for an oral cancer awareness campaign in Northern Germany - Challenges in campaign development and assessment 181-186 Download
Feasibility of Collecting Saliva for Biological Verification of Tobacco Use Status in Dental Practices and Patients’ Homes: Results from the National Dental PBRN 187-189 Download
Effectiveness of fluoride varnish four times a year in preventing caries in the primary dentition: A 2 year randomized controlled trial 190-194 Download
Trend in unequal geographical distribution of dentists by age and gender in Japan from 1996–2014 195-197 Download
Inequalities in orthodontic outcomes in England: treatment utilisation, subjective and normative need 198-202 Download
Exponential tooth decay curve 203-206 Download
Dental caries status and related modifiable factors among Nepali students 207-213 Download
Fluoride in drinking water in Madagascar and the development of a strategy for salt fluoridation 214-220 Download
Dentistry and Oral Health in Online Media Sources: A Discourse Analysis 221-228 Download
The prevalence of enamel and dentine caries lesions and their determinant factors among children living in fluoridated and non-fluoridated areas 229-236 Download


Online (Single user only)
Institution Online (IP address validation)

Back issues may be obtained from the publisher

Consider recommending subscription to your institution's library

You can view Open Access papers without a subscription.